1 edition of Development of cost estimating relationships for missile Engineering Manufacturing Development (EMD) costs and warship fuel consumption found in the catalog.
Development of cost estimating relationships for missile Engineering Manufacturing Development (EMD) costs and warship fuel consumption
Sandra A. Williams
by Naval Postgraduate School, Available from National Technical Information Service in Monterey, Calif, Springfield, Va
Written in English
The purpose of this thesis is to develop estimating relationships for missile Engineering and Manufacturing Development (EMD) costs and warship fuel consumption to aid the Naval Center for Cost Analysis (NCA) in performing independent cost estimates for new weapons programs. Standard factors, which represent the percent that each cost element is typically allocated from the program"s total funding, are currently used to predict whether missile EMD costs are roughly right. For fuel consumption, estimating relationships have only been developed for existing individual ship types. None have been developed which use pooled ship types to estimate fuel consumption of new ship types. Regression analysis was used to develop estimating relationships based on physical and technical characteristics. The cost estimating relationships (CERs) developed to predict missile EMD costs explained only about 34 percent of the variance. Due to the low explanatory power, no significant physical or technical factors could be determined. Even though the results are not statistically significant, the associated coefficients of variation are lower than the standard factor coefficients of variation. An estimating relationship with high explanatory power was developed to predict fuel consumption for new warships. Three significant physical and performance factors were determined: steaming hours, age and full load displacement. For new ship types, steaming hours and full load displacement are the significant factors.
|Statement||Sandra A. Williams|
|The Physical Object|
|Pagination||91 p. ;|
|Number of Pages||91|
Integrated Product and Process Development (IPPD) is the DoD management technique that simultaneously integrates all essential acquisition activities through the use of Integrated Product Teams (IPT) to optimize design, manufacturing, and supportability processes. IPPD facilitates meeting cost and performance objectives from product concept through production, including field support. Technical Director: Development of methods and tools for use in cost and schedule estimating relationships, quantitative risk analysis, and decision analysis.
1. Introduction. Parametric cost models are important tools for mission planners. They identify major architectural cost drivers, enable high-level design trades, enable cost-benefit analysis for technology development investment, and provide a basis for estimating total project by: The goal of the Manufacturing Cost Estimating module is to arm the student with a set of techniques used to address issues unique to estimating in the manufacturing environment. It will be our objective in this module to raise a few of the most common general issues, considerations, and concerns the estimator must be aware of in a typical major.
Reliability engineering is a sub-discipline of systems engineering that emphasizes dependability in the lifecycle management of a ility, describes the ability of a system or component to function under stated conditions for a specified period of time. Reliability is closely related to availability, which is typically described as the ability of a component or system to function. Uncertainty is the arrow in this paradox and uncertainty quantification refers to the determination of the dynamic element of uncertainty. While uncertainty quantification in practice is typically at best considered the result of a risk assessment process based around a technical baseline estimate, this uncertainty typically represents a static snap-shot of current conditions without Cited by:
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This banner text can have markup. web; books; video; audio; software; images; Toggle navigation. On the whole, therefore, cost estimation for IT development projects (involving both developmental and adaptation work) is best conducted as a combination of top-down and bottom-up estimating.
Adaptation, which is generally well defined, can be estimated using bottom-up estimating techniques since its scope is fixed. The cost tool team and Mr. Donchez developed cost-estimating relationships for integration into a “what-if” analysis tool to support long-range planning for our OPNAV customers.
Donchez has supported the development of an O&S cost estimate and business case analysis (BCA) for the FFG(X). Booster development cost. TABLE 9 Cost rules of thumb Approximate average production costs per pound of stage gross weight (at units) Strategic boosters Tactical missiles Stage 1 25 $/lb $/lb 2 50$/lb 3 $/lb Cost ratio for stage I/stage 2/stage 3 isl Booster learning curves - Total program (new development) 56% - Production Cited by: 1.
Estimating Cost Uncertainty when only Baseline Cost is items remain constant. These uncertainties result from errors in historical data, cost estimating relationships, specifications, analogies, extrapolations, or differences among Cost fit for very firm engineering decisions and very (+/- 5%)File Size: KB.
As part of its efforts to create a world-class cost estimating capability, the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) wrote a cost estimating handbook and established an independent assessment team to ensure adherence to the handbook.
As a result of this, MDA has received positive feedback from GAO in its progress towards this goal. Life-cycle cost isdefined as the sum of four major cost categories: (1) research and development costs; (2) investment costs, consisting of procurement, military construction, and acquisitionrelated operations and maintenance (O&M) - associated withFile Size: 2MB.
a regression approach for estimating procurement cost Versions Previous to SAR – binary variable: 1 for yes and 0 for no; indicates whether there was a significant, relevant effort prior to the.
Technology Estimating: A Process To Determine the Cost and Schedule of Space Technology Research and Development, NASA/TP, October Coleman, Richard L., and Shishu S. Gupta. When compared to the development estimate made before Engineering and Manufacturing Development, the average cost growth is %.
Both RAND and the Institute for Defense Analysis (IDA) have. Software Development Cost Estimating Guidebook Software Technology Support Center Cost Analysis Group July Resource manual for education and support in.
1 SI"hIARY Tht' b menorandum d1isvi ses the fundmnen'al problems oI estimating ma itr eqIlI i 1ment (I.N1 t an r ti vv h- th- t flir riany purpsis,pir cuI.I r I- for govurnment cost ana i ysts, a stat ist ical apnroach is the most suit-abIc.
The kind of data requi rvd and the.-,Idjkjstments needed to make the data useful are discussed in some detail, The ise of regression analv-File Size: 5MB.
Cost Estimation: Methods and Tools is an excellent reference for academics and practitioners in decision science, operations research, operations management, business, and systems and industrial engineering, as well as a useful guide in support of professional cost estimation training and certification courses for practitioners.
The book is. High quality cost estimating gives a business leader confidence to make rational financial decisions. Whether you are a business leader or a cost estimating manager, you have a vested interest in understanding whether you can depend on your organisation's ability to.
development cost growth measured at the program completion point, and the other bars indicate measurements at ﬁve years after MS B. We focus on development cost growth because it is a good early indicator of total program cost growth and because its growth trend is similar to procurement and total program cost growth (see pp.
36–38). The goal of this phase is to reduce the technology risk to an acceptable level, have a defined set of requirements in a Capability Development Document (CDD) and a preliminary acquisition strategy to start an official program in the next phase. Engineering & Manufacturing Development (EMD) Phase Phase EMD is the start of an official program.
The greatest difficulty in estimating relationships for reliability trade-offs derives from the fact that, whereas it is possible to estimate quite accurately such factors as the cost and weight penalties of built-in test equipment, the cost of materials and components, or the worth of a measurable performance parameter, the effect on.
Software. Development Cost Estimating Guidebook Software Technology Support Center Cost Analysis Group. July Resource manual for education and support in developing credible software development cost estimates Executive Summary The purpose of the Software Development Estimating Guidebook is to provide the cost analyst with a resource manual to use in developing credible software 5/5(1).
Development costs are the cost of engineering activities needed to design and develop baseline and block upgrades of interceptor boosters, kill vehicles (KVs), early warning sensor and radar systems, and other supporting components and infrastructure, with Missile Defense Agency (MDA) annual budget requests for funds reported as research.
agency use only 2. report date 3. september va report type and dates covered master's thesis and subtitle development of cost estimating relationships for missile engineering manufacturing development (emd) costs and warship fuel consumption 4.
title 6. author(s) sandra a. williams 7. The Purpose of the Manufacturing Development Guide 4. A Statement of the Problem 4. Root Cause 5. MDG Success Criteria 6. Manufacturing Development Guide Technical Content 7.
The Relationships among Practices 7. Benefits 8. Relationship to Airworthiness Certification 8. Relationship to Manufacturing Readiness.Acquiring and Enforcing the Government's Rights in Technical Data and Computer Software Under Department of Defense Contracts. Acquisition App Store. Acquisition Decision Memorandum (ADM), Full Rate Production (FRP) Template v Acquisition Decision Memorandum (ADM), Materiel Development Decision (MDD) Template vAssessing Space System Cost Estimates Bernard Fox, Kevin Brancato, Brien Alkire vi Guidelines and Metrics for Assessing Space System Cost Estimates CHAPTER FOUR Space Vehicle Cost Crosschecks Cost Estimating Relationships for Space-Based Systems: IDA Paper P